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血尿素氮与白蛋白比值作为重症监护病房急性胰腺炎患者死亡率的预测指标:一项回顾性队列研究

Blood urea nitrogen to albumin ratio as predictor of mortality among acute pancreatitis patients in ICU: A retrospective cohort study.

作者信息

Li Wei, Li Ning, Zhan Yujia, Gu Jun

机构信息

Department of Cardiovascular Surgery, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2025 May 15;20(5):e0323321. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0323321. eCollection 2025.


DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0323321
PMID:40373080
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC12080803/
Abstract

OBJECTIVE: Blood urea nitrogen to albumin ratio (BAR) has served as a predictive marker for patients in the Intensive Care Unit (ICU), and has been studied in patients with sepsis, post-cardiac surgery, severe COVID-19, and acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (AECOPD). This objective indicator has demonstrated capability in prognostic prediction.However, research on the prognostic value of BAR in acute pancreatitis (AP) patients are scarce,the goal was to explore the relationship between BAR and total mortality in AP admitted to ICU. METHODS: A Retrospective analysis was performed utilizing the Medical Information Market for Intensive Care (MIMIC IV) database. Patients with AP admitted to ICU were included and grouped based on BAR. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analysis were utilized to explore the relationship between BAR and total mortality. The area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was applied to assess the predictive value of BAR. Cumulative hazard risk accumulation curve verified BAR's predictive capability for short- and long-term mortality. Heterogeneity between different subgroups was excluded by subgroup analysis. RESULTS: Total 514 AP patients were divided into high-BAR (BAR ≥ 7.62) and low-BAR group (BAR < 7.62). The duration of ICU stay was significantly extended in the high BAR group. In the Cox proportional hazard model, whether adjusting for confounding factors or not, the high BAR was an independent risk factor for total mortality. AUC for BAR was 0.78 (95% C1: 0.72-0.84) at 28 days and 0.70 (95%: Cl: 0.64-0.75) at 360 days. CONCLUSION: BAR is an objective and independent predictor of both short- and long-term total mortality in AP patients. A prompt, efficient, and uncomplicated assessment of the severity and prognosis, which facilitates ICU doctors to develop treatment plans for poor patient outcomes.

摘要

目的:血尿素氮与白蛋白比值(BAR)已作为重症监护病房(ICU)患者的预测指标,并已在脓毒症、心脏手术后、重症新型冠状病毒肺炎和慢性阻塞性肺疾病急性加重期(AECOPD)患者中进行了研究。这一客观指标已显示出预后预测能力。然而,关于BAR在急性胰腺炎(AP)患者中的预后价值的研究较少,本研究旨在探讨BAR与入住ICU的AP患者全因死亡率之间的关系。 方法:利用重症监护医学信息市场(MIMIC IV)数据库进行回顾性分析。纳入入住ICU的AP患者,并根据BAR进行分组。采用单因素和多因素Cox回归分析探讨BAR与全因死亡率之间的关系。应用受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线下面积(AUC)评估BAR的预测价值。累积风险累积曲线验证了BAR对短期和长期死亡率的预测能力。通过亚组分析排除不同亚组之间的异质性。 结果:共514例AP患者分为高BAR组(BAR≥7.62)和低BAR组(BAR<7.62)。高BAR组的ICU住院时间显著延长。在Cox比例风险模型中,无论是否调整混杂因素,高BAR都是全因死亡率的独立危险因素。BAR在28天时的AUC为0.78(95%CI:0.72 - 0.84),在360天时为0.70(95%CI:0.64 - 0.75)。 结论:BAR是AP患者短期和长期全因死亡率的客观独立预测指标。对病情严重程度和预后进行快速、有效且简单的评估,有助于ICU医生为预后不良的患者制定治疗方案。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e46a/12080803/3681301d1b30/pone.0323321.g005.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e46a/12080803/929b178d6b4d/pone.0323321.g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e46a/12080803/6689b6408169/pone.0323321.g002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e46a/12080803/640f916023b7/pone.0323321.g003.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e46a/12080803/62afe47c6f6d/pone.0323321.g004.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e46a/12080803/3681301d1b30/pone.0323321.g005.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e46a/12080803/929b178d6b4d/pone.0323321.g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e46a/12080803/6689b6408169/pone.0323321.g002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e46a/12080803/640f916023b7/pone.0323321.g003.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e46a/12080803/62afe47c6f6d/pone.0323321.g004.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e46a/12080803/3681301d1b30/pone.0323321.g005.jpg

相似文献

[1]
Blood urea nitrogen to albumin ratio as predictor of mortality among acute pancreatitis patients in ICU: A retrospective cohort study.

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[2]
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[3]
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[5]
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[6]
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[7]
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[8]
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[9]
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[10]
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本文引用的文献

[1]
Comparison of different intensive care scoring systems and Glasgow Aneurysm score for aortic aneurysm in predicting 28-day mortality: a retrospective cohort study from MIMIC-IV database.

BMC Cardiovasc Disord. 2024-9-27

[2]
Machine Learning for Predicting Risk and Prognosis of Acute Kidney Disease in Critically Ill Elderly Patients During Hospitalization: Internet-Based and Interpretable Model Study.

J Med Internet Res. 2024-5-1

[3]
Association between serum creatinine to albumin ratio and short- and long-term all-cause mortality in patients with acute pancreatitis admitted to the intensive care unit: a retrospective analysis based on the MIMIC-IV database.

Front Immunol. 2024

[4]
Analysis of risk factors affecting the prognosis of patients with sepsis and construction of nomogram prediction model.

Eur Rev Med Pharmacol Sci. 2024-3

[5]
Association between alkaline phosphatase to albumin ratio and mortality among patients with sepsis.

Sci Rep. 2024-2-7

[6]
Relationship between blood urea nitrogen to serum albumin ratio and short-term mortality among patients from the surgical intensive care unit: a population-based real-world study.

BMC Anesthesiol. 2023-12-19

[7]
Association between early blood urea nitrogen-to-albumin ratio and one-year post-hospital mortality in critically ill surgical patients: a propensity score-matched study.

BMC Anesthesiol. 2023-7-21

[8]
Prognostic impact of blood urea nitrogen to albumin ratio on patients with sepsis: a retrospective cohort study.

Sci Rep. 2023-6-20

[9]
MIMIC-IV, a freely accessible electronic health record dataset.

Sci Data. 2023-1-3

[10]
Association between lactate-to-albumin ratio and 28-days all-cause mortality in patients with acute pancreatitis: A retrospective analysis of the MIMIC-IV database.

Front Immunol. 2022

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