Oka Tomoka, Matsumoto Ryusuke, Motomura Eishi, Okada Motohiro
Department of Neuropsychiatry, Division of Neuroscience, Graduate School of Medicine, Mie University, Tsu 514-8507, Japan.
Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2025 Aug 22;22(9):1315. doi: 10.3390/ijerph22091315.
Identification of temporal relations among suicide mortality and economic/political implementations provides important information for not only planning suicide prevention but also socioeconomic/psychosocial measures. This cross-sectional observation study analyzed temporal fluctuations and causalities of suicide mortalities of working-age individuals, disaggregated by age/gender/social standing (employed/unemployed), in Japan from 2009 to 2024, using government databases, by joinpoint and vector-autoregressive analyses. Suicide mortality among total and employed females decreased until the COVID-19 pandemic outbreak but sharply increased, synchronized with the pandemic outbreak, before resuming a downward trend. Among males, the decreasing trends attenuated from 2016, followed by a transient increase in 2022. Unemployed males aged 40-69 exhibited four joinpoints: 2016 (decreasing-increasing), 2018 (increasing-decreasing), 2022 (decreasing-increasing), and 2023 (increasing-stable). In contrast, suicide mortality among unemployed females aged 40-69 sharply increased in 2022 and maintained the high level. Among individuals aged 30-39, suicide mortality reversed from decreasing to increasing in 2016 (males) and 2018 (unemployed females). Economic expansion was protective for employed individuals but had no significant effect on unemployed populations. The government management instability (AENROP) index was positively associated with suicide mortality among employed and unemployed males and employed females. Unemployed females aged 30-39 were sensitive to AENROP but not economic conditions, while those aged 40-69 were largely unaffected by either. Increasing employment of individuals with psychiatric disabilities was positively associated with suicide mortality among unemployed males (30-69) and females under 40. Positive impacts of the employment rates of individuals with psychiatric disabilities and unemployment enhanced from 2016 and 2022, respectively, whereas the impacts were inconstantly affected by political rather than economic factors. Suicide mortality among unemployed individuals has emerged as a critical public health concern in Japan, with rates more than doubling among males and tripling among females in the 2020s. These findings underscore the need for integrated suicide prevention policies that address both labor market vulnerabilities and psychosocial determinants.
确定自杀死亡率与经济/政治举措之间的时间关系,不仅为规划自杀预防措施,也为制定社会经济/心理社会措施提供了重要信息。这项横断面观察研究利用政府数据库,通过连接点分析和向量自回归分析,对2009年至2024年日本劳动年龄个体按年龄/性别/社会地位(就业/失业)分类的自杀死亡率的时间波动和因果关系进行了分析。总体和就业女性的自杀死亡率在新冠疫情爆发前呈下降趋势,但在疫情爆发时同步急剧上升,之后又恢复下降趋势。在男性中,下降趋势从2016年开始减弱,随后在2022年出现短暂上升。40至69岁的失业男性出现了四个连接点:2016年(下降-上升)、2018年(上升-下降)、2022年(下降-上升)和2023年(上升-稳定)。相比之下,40至69岁的失业女性自杀死亡率在2022年急剧上升并维持在高位。在30至39岁的个体中,自杀死亡率在2016年(男性)和2018年(失业女性)从下降转为上升。经济扩张对就业个体有保护作用,但对失业人群没有显著影响。政府管理不稳定(AENROP)指数与就业和失业男性以及就业女性的自杀死亡率呈正相关。30至39岁的失业女性对AENROP敏感,但对经济状况不敏感,而40至69岁的失业女性在很大程度上不受两者影响。有精神疾病残疾个体的就业增加与30至69岁失业男性和40岁以下失业女性的自杀死亡率呈正相关。有精神疾病残疾个体的就业率和失业率的积极影响分别从2016年和2022年开始增强,而这些影响受到政治而非经济因素的不稳定影响。在日本,失业个体的自杀死亡率已成为一个关键的公共卫生问题,在2020年代,男性自杀率增加了一倍多,女性增加了两倍多。这些发现强调了需要制定综合自杀预防政策,以解决劳动力市场脆弱性和心理社会决定因素。