Gortmaker S L
Am J Public Health. 1979 Jul;69(7):653-60. doi: 10.2105/ajph.69.7.653.
Data upon all births and infant deaths in New York City in 1968 are analyzed using methods for the analysis of multidimensional contingency tables. These methods provide estimates of the effect of variations in prenatal care upon the relative risks of low birth weight and neonatal and postneonatal mortality, controlling for a wide variety of factors which tend to "select" women into a program of prenatal care. Significant relationships between lack of prenatal care and infant mortality are estimated, but these occur mainly via the relationship of inadequate prenatal care to low birth weight. Furthermore, among white mothers who delivered on a private service, those receiving inadequate levels of prenatal care experienced only slightly increased risks of a low birth weight infant. In contrast, white mothers who delivered on a general service, and all black mothers, experienced substantially increased risks when receiving inadequate prenatal care. A variety of behavioral characteristics of mothers were not controlled in these analyses, and thus clear causal inferences concerning the efficacy of prenatal care cannot be drawn. These analyses do, however, identify a significant population of women at substantial risk.
运用多维列联表分析方法,对1968年纽约市所有出生及婴儿死亡数据进行了分析。这些方法在控制了多种倾向于将妇女“选入”产前护理项目的因素后,对产前护理差异对低出生体重、新生儿及新生儿后期死亡率相对风险的影响进行了估计。对缺乏产前护理与婴儿死亡率之间的显著关系进行了估计,但这些关系主要是通过产前护理不足与低出生体重之间的关系产生的。此外,在接受私人服务分娩的白人母亲中,那些接受产前护理水平不足的母亲生下低体重婴儿的风险仅略有增加。相比之下,在接受普通服务分娩的白人母亲以及所有黑人母亲中,接受不足的产前护理时,风险大幅增加。在这些分析中未对母亲的多种行为特征进行控制,因此无法就产前护理的效果得出明确的因果推断。然而,这些分析确实识别出了大量处于高风险的女性群体。