Johnston S J, Jones P F, Kyle J, Needham C D
Br Med J. 1973 Sep 29;3(5882):655-60. doi: 10.1136/bmj.3.5882.655.
A prospective study was made of 817 consecutive episodes of major gastrointestinal haemorrhage in patients admitted to hospital during 1967-8 from the defined population of North-East Scotland. The yearly admission rate was 116 per 100,000 population. Comparison of the data for city and country residents showed no appreciable differences. In the duodenal ulcer group there was an undue incidence of bleeding among foremen and skilled workers and among those who were unmarried or widowed.Both the clinical history and the results of any previous barium meal examinations were unreliable guides to the source of the current haemorrhage. Prognosis was worse for patients who did not have a dyspeptic history and was better for those who had bled on a previous occasion. The simultaneous ingestion of alcohol and aspirin had an adverse effect on the occurrence of bleeding. Forty-seven per cent. of the patients had another major coincidental disease.Mortality was 13.7% in the whole series and 8.6% in those with peptic ulcer (duodenal ulcer 7.1%, gastric ulcer 16.9%). In 28% of the patients further haemorrhage occurred after admission to hospital and caused a 28.8% mortality. Seventy-four patients were already in hospital when they first bled and 44% of them died.
对1967年至198年期间从苏格兰东北部特定人群中入院的患者连续发生的817次重大胃肠道出血事件进行了前瞻性研究。年入院率为每10万人116例。城市和农村居民的数据比较显示没有明显差异。在十二指肠溃疡组中,工头和技术工人以及未婚或丧偶者中出血发生率过高。临床病史和以往任何钡餐检查结果都不是当前出血来源的可靠指导。没有消化不良病史的患者预后较差,而以前有过出血的患者预后较好。同时摄入酒精和阿司匹林对出血的发生有不利影响。47%的患者患有另一种重大的并发疾病。整个系列的死亡率为13.7%,消化性溃疡患者的死亡率为8.6%(十二指肠溃疡为7.1%,胃溃疡为16.9%)。28%的患者入院后再次出血,死亡率为28.8%。74名患者首次出血时已经住院,其中44%死亡。