Westoff C F, Jones E F
Demography. 1979 May;16(2):209-17.
Catholic and non-Catholic fertility during the post-World War II period are compared in this paper. Evidence accumulated across five sample surveys of fertility in the United States, which were conducted at five-year intervals from 1955 through 1975, forms the basis for the analysis; both cohort and period measures are employed. Starting from a situation where Catholic fertility was very little higher than that of non-Catholics, it is shown that the differential increased markedly during the baby boom and then declined to a point where the two trends nearly come together in the mid-1970s. Interpretation of the recent convergence in the light of various theories that have been put forward to explain the differential suggests that it will be an enduring phenomenon.
本文比较了二战后天主教徒和非天主教徒的生育情况。从1955年到1975年,每隔五年对美国生育情况进行一次抽样调查,积累的证据构成了分析的基础;同时采用了队列和时期测量方法。研究表明,最初天主教徒的生育率仅略高于非天主教徒,但在婴儿潮时期差异显著增大,随后又有所下降,到20世纪70年代中期,两者趋势几乎趋同。根据为解释这种差异而提出的各种理论,对近期趋同现象的解读表明,这将是一种持久的现象。