Farrow S C, Fisher D J, Johnson D B
Br Med J. 1971 Jun 19;2(5763):671-6. doi: 10.1136/bmj.2.5763.671.
A mathematical model has been constructed to assist in planning the future requirements of a combined haemodialysis and transplantation centre. It has been used to predict the number of patients in the dialysis unit, the general wards, and at home on dialysis, as well as providing further information on transplantation rates and overall costs. The model can be adapted for units with different facilities from our own.It can be primed with data from an individual unit or with pooled data from the whole country. The purpose of this paper is to demonstrate the methodology of a particular statistical approach.
已构建一个数学模型，以协助规划血液透析与移植联合中心的未来需求。该模型已用于预测透析单元、普通病房及居家透析患者的数量，还可提供有关移植率和总成本的更多信息。该模型可适用于与我们中心设施不同的单位。它可以用单个单位的数据或全国汇总的数据进行初始化。本文的目的是展示一种特定统计方法的方法论。
