Slater P E, Melnik Y, Katz L, Davies A M
Isr J Med Sci. 1979 Dec;15(12):990-2.
Between 1960 and 1975, the incidence of breast cancer in Israel rose 20%. A steady rise in incidence was seen for women aged 60 or more years, whereas for women younger than 60 years, the incidence pattern was less regular, showing a definite rise only in the period 1970-75. Mortality from breast cancer also rose among women aged 60 or more years, but much more slowly than incidence. Among women younger than 60 years, breast cancer mortality was essentially unchanged. When mortality rates from a disease rise more slowly than incidence rates, it can be inferred that a greater proportion of new cases are being cured or are experiencing longer survival. It would appear that this is the case with breast cancer in Israel, and this trend, probably the result of earlier diagnosis, is encouraging.
1960年至1975年间,以色列乳腺癌发病率上升了20%。60岁及以上女性的发病率呈稳步上升趋势,而60岁以下女性的发病率模式不太规律,仅在1970 - 1975年期间有明显上升。60岁及以上女性的乳腺癌死亡率也有所上升,但比发病率上升得慢得多。60岁以下女性的乳腺癌死亡率基本没有变化。当一种疾病的死亡率上升速度比发病率慢时,可以推断出更大比例的新病例得到了治愈或生存期更长。以色列的乳腺癌似乎就是这种情况,这种趋势可能是早期诊断的结果,令人鼓舞。