Swartzman G
Health Serv Res. 1970 Winter;5(4):320-9.
The arrival process for emergency patients, impatients, and scheduled and unscheduled outpatients is closely studied by time-series analysis. The hourly variation in weekday arrival rates is examined and a model describing the processes with a considerable degree of predictive accuracy is developed. The model is tested by comparing predicted values with data from a follow-up survey.
通过时间序列分析对急诊患者、住院患者以及预约和非预约门诊患者的到达过程进行了深入研究。研究了工作日每小时到达率的变化情况，并建立了一个具有相当高预测准确性的描述这些过程的模型。通过将预测值与后续调查数据进行比较来对该模型进行测试。
