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A stochastic and deterministic model of medical care utilization.

作者信息

Navarro V, Parker R, White K L

出版信息

Health Serv Res. 1970 Winter;5(4):342-57.

Abstract

A previously reported stochastic model predicting the future distribution of a stable population in various states of health care is here modified and expanded to take into account the stochastic process of varying rates of utilization among different age groups and the stochastic and deterministic processes that determine changes in size and age structure of the population. The functioning of the model is described and its use illustrated by application to a hypothetical population. Given an adequate data base, the model offers a quantitative tool for estimating future resources required by each component of the health services system.

摘要

本文引用的文献

1
The ecology of medical care.医疗保健生态学
N Engl J Med. 1961 Nov 2;265:885-92. doi: 10.1056/NEJM196111022651805.

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