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性病建模导论

Introduction to the modelling of venereal disease.

作者信息

Bailey N T

出版信息

J Math Biol. 1979 Oct;8(3):301-22. doi: 10.1007/BF00276315.

DOI:10.1007/BF00276315
PMID:583052
Abstract

The continually rising trend in the incidence of venereal diseases, especially gonorrhoea, in a large number of countries, both developed and developing is causing considerable public health concern. There is a disquieting volume of human suffering involved, as well as large economic losses in treatment and hospitalization. The present paper reviews the existing state of development in the mathematical modelling of the relevant disease dynamics. The 'criss-cross' nature of the infections, which in heterosexual contacts switch between the male and female populations, together with the nonlinear form of the rate of spread normally occurring in infectious diseases, leads to special types of simultaneous nonlinear differential equations.

摘要

在许多发达国家和发展中国家,性病尤其是淋病的发病率持续上升,这引起了相当大的公共卫生关注。其中涉及令人不安的大量人类痛苦,以及治疗和住院方面的巨大经济损失。本文综述了相关疾病动态数学建模的现有发展状况。感染的“交叉”性质,即在异性接触中在男性和女性人群之间转换,以及传染病中通常出现的非线性传播率形式,导致了特殊类型的联立非线性微分方程。

相似文献

1
Introduction to the modelling of venereal disease.性病建模导论
J Math Biol. 1979 Oct;8(3):301-22. doi: 10.1007/BF00276315.
2
[Epidemiology of venereal diseases and its importance in organizing their control].[性病流行病学及其在组织控制方面的重要性]
Vestn Dermatol Venerol. 1982 Jun(6):32-6.
3
Role of the medical auxiliary in the control of sexually transmitted disease in a developing country.医疗辅助人员在一个发展中国家控制性传播疾病中的作用。
Br J Vener Dis. 1976 Apr;52(2):116-21. doi: 10.1136/sti.52.2.116.
4
Modelling sexually transmitted infections: less is usually more for informing public health policy.性传播感染建模:在为公共卫生政策提供信息方面,通常少即是多。
Trans R Soc Trop Med Hyg. 2008 Mar;102(3):207-8. doi: 10.1016/j.trstmh.2007.08.009. Epub 2007 Oct 29.
5
Heterosexual relationships and condom-use in the spread of sexually transmitted diseases to women.异性恋关系及使用避孕套在性传播疾病向女性传播中的情况
Genitourin Med. 1995 Oct;71(5):291-4. doi: 10.1136/sti.71.5.291.
6
Venereal disease and treponematoses--the epidemiological situation and WHO's control programme.性病与密螺旋体病——流行病学形势及世界卫生组织的防控规划
WHO Chron. 1973 Oct;27(10):410-7.
7
VD education in developing countries. A comparison with developed countries.发展中国家的职业指导教育。与发达国家的比较。
Br J Vener Dis. 1976 Apr;52(2):88-93. doi: 10.1136/sti.52.2.88.
8
[Status of research on the epidemiology of venereal diseases and the organization of their control in the 10th Five-Year Plan].[性病流行病学研究现状及“十五”期间性病防治工作的组织]
Vestn Dermatol Venerol. 1982 Nov(11):24-30.
9
Some aspects of sexually transmitted disease in Swaziland.斯威士兰性传播疾病的某些方面。
Br J Vener Dis. 1976 Dec;52(6):412-4. doi: 10.1136/sti.52.6.412.
10
Sexuality, venereal disease, and public health policy.性取向、性病与公共卫生政策。
Health Soc Work. 1981 Nov;6(4):55-63. doi: 10.1093/hsw/6.4.55.

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Stability in cyclic epidemic models.
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3
Epidemiological models for sexually transmitted diseases.性传播疾病的流行病学模型
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本文引用的文献

1
Dynamics and control of the transmission of gonorrhea.淋病传播的动力学与控制
Sex Transm Dis. 1978 Apr-Jun;5(2):51-6. doi: 10.1097/00007435-197804000-00003.
2
A meaningful measure of health for epidemiology.一种适用于流行病学的有意义的健康衡量指标。
Int J Epidemiol. 1972 Winter;1(4):319-37. doi: 10.1093/ije/1.4.319.
3
A malaria model tested in the African savannah.一个在非洲稀树草原进行测试的疟疾模型。
4
Asymptotic behavior and stability in four models of venereal disease.四种性病模型中的渐近行为与稳定性
J Math Biol. 1979 Dec;8(4):365-73. doi: 10.1007/BF00275832.
Bull World Health Organ. 1974;50(3-4):347-57.