Shapiro S, McCormick M C, Starfield B H, Crawley B
Pediatrics. 1983 Sep;72(3):408-15.
Neonatal mortality and morbidity among infants surviving to 1 year of age in eight geographic areas have been compared to determine whether recent decreases in mortality have affected the risk of infants having congenital anomalies or developmental delay. Mortality was obtained from birth and death records in 1976 and either 1978 or 1979; morbidity through home interviews with mothers of random samples of infants and developmental observations on the children. It is concluded that the decrease in mortality was not offset by increases in children with defects. Neonatal mortality decreased by 18% in this 2- to 3-year period; risk of congenital anomalies or developmental delay (all types combined) declined by 16% among the surviving infants. The reduction in risk was concentrated in the minor congenital anomalies or developmental delay category; the proportion of children with severe or moderate congenital anomalies or developmental delay did not change. Decreases occurred at every birth weight including the very low birth weights of 1,500 g or less, a subgroup with especially high mortality and morbidity resulting from perinatal events.
对八个地理区域中存活至1岁的婴儿的新生儿死亡率和发病率进行了比较,以确定近期死亡率的下降是否影响了婴儿出现先天性异常或发育迟缓的风险。死亡率数据来自1976年以及1978年或1979年的出生和死亡记录;发病率则通过对随机抽取的婴儿母亲进行家庭访谈以及对儿童进行发育观察来获取。研究得出结论,死亡率的下降并未被有缺陷儿童数量的增加所抵消。在这两到三年期间,新生儿死亡率下降了18%;存活婴儿中先天性异常或发育迟缓(所有类型合计)的风险下降了16%。风险的降低集中在轻度先天性异常或发育迟缓类别;患有重度或中度先天性异常或发育迟缓的儿童比例没有变化。每个出生体重组的风险都有所降低,包括体重在1500克及以下的极低出生体重儿,这一亚组由于围产期事件导致死亡率和发病率特别高。