James W H
Br Med J. 1978 Jan 14;1(6105):72-3. doi: 10.1136/bmj.1.6105.72.
Data on the birth ranks of miscarriages within sibships in which a case of anencephaly or spina bifida (ASB) had occurred were analysed by the Haldane-Smith statistical test. This showed that miscarriages in ASB sibships tend to have a negative birth order effect--that is, they occur in earlier rather than later pregnancies within the sibship. The strongest source of bias in this analysis--the fact that mothers tend to forget early spontaneous abortions--worked against this finding, so the negative birth order effect is probably genuine. Because ASB itself shows a negative birth order effect and because spontaneous abortions in normal sibships do not show such an effect, the additional spontaneous abortions in ASB sibships are probably of fetuses affected by ASB.
运用霍尔丹-史密斯统计检验分析了无脑儿或脊柱裂(ASB)病例所在同胞组中流产胎儿出生顺序的数据。结果显示,ASB同胞组中的流产往往呈现出生顺序负效应——即流产发生在同胞组中较早而非较晚的孕期。该分析中最主要的偏差来源——母亲往往会忘记早期自然流产这一事实——与这一发现相悖,所以出生顺序负效应可能是真实存在的。由于ASB本身呈现出生顺序负效应,且正常同胞组中的自然流产未表现出这种效应,因此ASB同胞组中额外的自然流产胎儿很可能是受ASB影响的胎儿。