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个体对吸入颗粒物的易感性。一篇方法学论文。

Individual susceptibility to inhaled particles. A methodological essay.

作者信息

Liddell D, Miller K

出版信息

Scand J Work Environ Health. 1983 Feb;9(1):1-8. doi: 10.5271/sjweh.2448.

Abstract

Many workers severely exposed to inhaled particles have remained unaffected--what has protected them? Some workers have been affected despite mild exposure--what has rendered them vulnerable? There has been little progress in answering even the first question, and there can be no guarantee that factors rendering the lightly exposed vulnerable are the converse of those protecting the heavily exposed. An answer to the second question would be useful, say, for screening. But it requires study at the low end of the exposure scale, and there are many variables, probably intricately related, to be taken into account. A case/referent design might seem an obvious approach, but in its classical form it incurs essential and perhaps insurmountable difficulties. A longitudinal epidemiologic study would have to be very large, very complex, and very long in duration. Animal experiments also would have to be large and complex, probably embracing most of the animals' life span, but even so they could not take all relevant variables into account. It is recognized that the present paper has emphasized many difficulties and may thus appear negative in approach. Furthermore, although a compromise epidemiologic design is put forward, it is speculative.

摘要

许多严重暴露于吸入颗粒的工人并未受到影响——是什么保护了他们?一些工人尽管暴露程度较轻却受到了影响——是什么使他们变得脆弱?即使是回答第一个问题也几乎没有进展,而且无法保证使轻度暴露者变得脆弱的因素与保护重度暴露者的因素相反。回答第二个问题会很有用,比如用于筛查。但这需要在低暴露水平下进行研究,并且有许多变量,可能相互错综复杂地关联,需要考虑在内。病例/对照设计可能看起来是一种显而易见的方法,但以其经典形式会带来一些基本的、也许无法克服的困难。纵向流行病学研究必须规模非常大、非常复杂且持续时间非常长。动物实验也必须规模大且复杂,可能要涵盖动物的大部分寿命,但即便如此,它们也无法考虑所有相关变量。人们认识到,本文强调了许多困难,因此在方法上可能显得消极。此外,尽管提出了一种折中的流行病学设计,但它是推测性的。

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