Wolmark N, Wieand H S, Rockette H E, Fisher B, Glass A, Lawrence W, Lerner H, Cruz A B, Volk H, Shibata H
Ann Surg. 1983 Dec;198(6):743-52. doi: 10.1097/00000658-198312000-00013.
The present study examines the prognostic significance of tumor location and bowel obstruction in Dukes B and C colorectal cancer. Data were obtained from 1021 patients entered into two randomized prospective clinical trials of the NSABP. Tumor location proved to be a strong prognostic discriminant. Lesions located in the left colon demonstrated the most favorable prognosis. Tumors of the rectosigmoid and rectum had the worst prognosis with the relative risk of treatment failure for the latter being over three fold that of the left colon. When the relative risks associated with tumor location were adjusted for nodal imbalances, the left colon continued to demonstrate the most favorable prognosis. The presence of bowel obstruction also strongly influenced the prognostic outcome. Examination of the data without considering tumor location disclosed that patients with bowel obstruction were at greater risk for treatment failure than those without obstruction. The effect of bowel obstruction was influenced by the location of the tumor. The occurrence of bowel obstruction in the right colon was associated with a significantly diminished disease-free survival, whereas obstruction in the left colon demonstrated no such effect. This phenomenon was independent of nodal status and tumor encirclement, the latter two factors proving to be of prognostic significance independent of tumor obstruction. A multivariate analysis in which the covariate effects of sex, age, nodal status, tumor obstruction, encirclement, and tumor location were adjusted underscored the role of tumor location and obstruction as prognostic discriminants. The results indicate that the definition of prognostic factors can identify patient subsets with unique characteristics.
本研究探讨了肿瘤位置和肠梗阻在Dukes B期和C期结直肠癌中的预后意义。数据来自1021例进入NSABP两项随机前瞻性临床试验的患者。肿瘤位置被证明是一个强有力的预后判别因素。位于左半结肠的病变预后最有利。直肠乙状结肠和直肠的肿瘤预后最差,后者治疗失败的相对风险是左半结肠的三倍多。当针对淋巴结不平衡调整与肿瘤位置相关的相对风险时,左半结肠仍显示出最有利的预后。肠梗阻的存在也强烈影响预后结果。在不考虑肿瘤位置的情况下检查数据发现,有肠梗阻的患者比没有肠梗阻的患者治疗失败的风险更大。肠梗阻的影响受肿瘤位置的影响。右半结肠发生肠梗阻与无病生存期显著缩短相关,而左半结肠的梗阻则无此影响。这种现象与淋巴结状态和肿瘤包绕无关,后两个因素被证明是独立于肿瘤梗阻的预后因素。一项多变量分析对性别、年龄、淋巴结状态、肿瘤梗阻、包绕和肿瘤位置的协变量效应进行了调整,强调了肿瘤位置和梗阻作为预后判别因素的作用。结果表明,预后因素的定义可以识别具有独特特征的患者亚组。