Greenberg P S, Ellestad M H, Clover R C
Am J Cardiol. 1984 Feb 1;53(4):493-6. doi: 10.1016/0002-9149(84)90019-5.
The accuracy of 2 discriminate systems for diagnosis of coronary artery disease (CAD), multivariate analysis (MVA) and Bayesian analysis (CADENZA), was evaluated in 113 patients undergoing electrocardiographic stress testing and coronary angiography. MVA uses weighting factors (F values) generated from our patient data, whereas CADENZA uses probabilities gleaned from an extensive review of the American literature. Overall accuracy was similar. MVA had a higher sensitivity for 1-vessel CAD (75 versus 33%), but CADENZA was better for determining the severity of CAD. The 2 systems provided posterior probabilities for disease that were highly correlated (r = 0.56; p less than 0.001). Both systems suggest the need for further testing based on the probability generated; herein lies their major strength. The application of such systems should help the clinician reach a diagnosis or make a decision as to management in a cost-effective manner.
在113例接受心电图负荷试验和冠状动脉造影的患者中,对两种用于诊断冠状动脉疾病(CAD)的判别系统——多变量分析(MVA)和贝叶斯分析(CADENZA)的准确性进行了评估。MVA使用从我们的患者数据中生成的加权因子(F值),而CADENZA使用从对美国文献的广泛回顾中收集的概率。总体准确性相似。MVA对单支血管CAD的敏感性较高(75%对33%),但CADENZA在确定CAD严重程度方面表现更好。这两种系统提供的疾病后验概率高度相关(r = 0.56;p < 0.001)。两种系统都表明需要根据生成的概率进行进一步检测;这就是它们的主要优势所在。此类系统的应用应以具有成本效益的方式帮助临床医生做出诊断或就管理做出决策。