Gorry G A, Silverman H, Pauker S G
Am J Med. 1978 Mar;64(3):452-60. doi: 10.1016/0002-9343(78)90232-2.
The administration of digitalis by experienced cardiologists has been examined and a prototypical computer program has been developed which captures portions of their expertise. The new program first constructs a patient-specific model upon which to base the determination of dosage and then uses feedback information about a variety of clinical aspects of the patient's response to modify its recommendations. The model reflects both the program's knowledge of pharmacokinetics and those special features of the patient's condition which may alter his response to therapy. The program makes assessments of the therapeutic and the toxic effects of digitalis on the patient, and bases its subsequent recommendations on the "therapeutic-toxic" state which best describes the evolving clinical situation. A clinical trial was performed in which the program "followed" a series of patients managed by clinicians on a cardiology service. That trial demonstrated the feasibility of this type of program in dealing with acutely ill patients, even those who have increased sensitivity to the toxic effects of digitalis. Each patient in the trial in whom toxicity developed had received more digitalis than would have been recommended by the program. This approach to automated clinical consultation should eventually provide a technology for the distribution of clinical expertise.
经验丰富的心脏病专家使用洋地黄的情况已得到研究,并开发了一个典型的计算机程序,该程序获取了他们的部分专业知识。新程序首先构建一个针对特定患者的模型,以此为依据确定剂量,然后利用有关患者反应的各种临床方面的反馈信息来修改其建议。该模型既反映了程序对药代动力学的了解,也反映了患者病情中可能改变其对治疗反应的那些特殊特征。该程序对洋地黄对患者的治疗效果和毒性作用进行评估,并根据最能描述不断变化的临床情况的“治疗-毒性”状态做出后续建议。进行了一项临床试验,在试验中该程序“跟踪”了由心脏病科临床医生管理的一系列患者。该试验证明了这类程序在处理急症患者方面的可行性,甚至对于那些对洋地黄毒性作用敏感性增加的患者也是如此。试验中出现毒性反应的每位患者所接受的洋地黄剂量都超过了该程序的推荐剂量。这种自动化临床咨询方法最终应能提供一种临床专业知识传播技术。