Singer D E, Carr P L, Mulley A G, Thibault G E
N Engl J Med. 1983 Nov 10;309(19):1155-60. doi: 10.1056/NEJM198311103091905.
To determine how physicians ration limited critical resources, we studied the allocation of intensive-care-unit (ICU) beds during a shortage caused by a lack of nurses. As the bed capacity of the medical ICU decreased from 18 to 8, the percentage of days on which one or more beds were available decreased from 95 to 55 per cent, and monthly admissions decreased from 122 to 95. Physicians responded by restricting ICU admissions to acutely ill patients and reducing the proportion of patients admitted primarily for monitoring. Among patients admitted because of chest pain, the proportion actually sustaining a myocardial infarction increased linearly with the restriction in bed capacity. Although more patients with myocardial infarction were admitted to non-intensive-care areas, there was no increase in mortality. In addition, physicians transferred patients out of the ICU sooner. There was no apparent withdrawal of care from dying patients. Our results suggest that physicians can respond to moderate resource limitations by more efficient use of intensive-care resources.
为了确定医生如何分配有限的关键资源,我们研究了在因护士短缺导致床位紧张期间重症监护病房(ICU)床位的分配情况。随着医疗重症监护病房的床位容量从18张减少到8张,有一张或多张床位可用的天数百分比从95%降至55%,每月入院人数从122人降至95人。医生的应对措施是将重症监护病房的入院限制在急性病患者,并减少主要为监测目的而入院的患者比例。在因胸痛入院的患者中,实际发生心肌梗死的比例随着床位容量的限制呈线性增加。尽管更多心肌梗死患者被收治到非重症监护区域,但死亡率并未增加。此外,医生会更早地将患者转出重症监护病房。对于濒死患者,并未明显减少护理。我们的结果表明,医生可以通过更有效地利用重症监护资源来应对适度的资源限制。