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一项针对30个荷兰奶牛场的为期三年的畜群健康与管理计划。III. 生育控制的经济评估。

A three year herd health and management program on thirty Dutch dairy farms. III. Economic evaluation of fertility control.

作者信息

Dijkhuizen A A, Sol J, Stelwagen J

出版信息

Vet Q. 1984 Jul;6(3):158-62. doi: 10.1080/01652176.1984.9693930.

DOI:10.1080/01652176.1984.9693930
PMID:6485240
Abstract

Fertility control was part of a herd health and management program on thirty dairy farms in the province of Overijssel. A comparable control group of thirty-one farms was available. After two years of application of the program the improvement in income feedcosts margin per cow on the program farms exceeded that on control farms by Dfl. 176. Within the large variation in income between the farms it was not possible to accurately distinguish the effects of the different aspects of the program, despite the use of detailed techniques such as Factor Analysis: thus another approach to determine the income effect of fertility control was necessary. The total loss per farm due to sub-optimal fertility was determined, using calving interval data, forced replacement data and norm-loss rates. From computation of this loss on program and control farms, the income effect of fertility control was deduced. Excluding the cost of the program, a significant (P less than 0.01) positive effect of fertility control on the total calculated loss due to sub-optimal fertility was determined (average Dfl. 25.50 per cow, or about Dfl. 1,700 per farm, after two years of program application). This income effect differed considerably between farms with an initial good or poor situation regarding fertility. The program contributed more to the improvement of insufficient or moderate fertility than to the prevention of a deterioration in herds with excellent fertility, although on the latter farms the total program had a considerable positive effect.

摘要

生育控制是荷兰上艾瑟尔省30个奶牛场畜群健康与管理计划的一部分。有一个由31个农场组成的可比对照组。该计划实施两年后,实施计划的农场每头奶牛的收入饲料成本 margin 比对照农场高出176荷兰盾。尽管使用了因子分析等详细技术,但在农场之间收入差异很大的情况下,仍无法准确区分该计划不同方面的影响:因此,需要另一种方法来确定生育控制的收入效应。利用产犊间隔数据、强制更换数据和标准损失率,确定了每个农场因生育力欠佳造成的总损失。通过计算实施计划的农场和对照农场的这种损失,推断出生育控制的收入效应。排除该计划的成本后,确定生育控制对因生育力欠佳造成的计算总损失有显著(P小于0.01)的积极影响(计划实施两年后,每头奶牛平均25.50荷兰盾,或每个农场约1700荷兰盾)。在生育力初始状况良好或欠佳的农场之间,这种收入效应差异很大。该计划对改善生育力不足或中等的情况贡献更大,而不是对防止生育力优秀的畜群恶化,尽管在后者农场,整个计划有相当大的积极影响。

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