Prognosis and outcome in a cohort of patients with non-affective functional psychosis.

Over a period of 3 years since the first in a lifetime onset of an episode of non-affective functional psychosis a cohort of 82 Dutch patients was studied at set intervals with regard to prognosis and outcome. Prognostic statements on remission, relapse, duration of episode, length of stay in hospital, and occupational, family and overall social adjustment were checked against actual outcome after 1 year. In general, the research team of three psychiatrists, a psychologist and a sociologist began quite optimistically, but became slightly more pessimistic with time. However, their predictions proved hardly better than chance statements. The team appeared to be more pessimistic about the diagnosis of schizophrenia than about that of reactive psychosis, although they were not correct with one diagnostic category more often than with the other.