Fleming T R, Harrington D P, O'Brien P C
Control Clin Trials. 1984 Dec;5(4):348-61. doi: 10.1016/s0197-2456(84)80014-8.
Several authors have proposed group sequential procedures to satisfy the ethical need in clinical trials for interim analyses. We propose here an alternative procedure that offers a good opportunity for early termination when initial results are extreme, while essentially maintaining the power provided by the procedure that applies when the corresponding test statistic is computed only at the predetermined time of final analysis. The new design is also sufficiently flexible to readily allow one to increase the maximum number of analyses for certain reasons such as unexpectedly slow accrual into the study, although not for reasons arising from consideration of outcomes observed at interim analysis.
几位作者提出了成组序贯方法,以满足临床试验中期分析的伦理需求。我们在此提出一种替代方法,当初始结果极端时,该方法为提前终止提供了一个很好的机会,同时基本上保持了仅在预定的最终分析时间计算相应检验统计量时该方法所提供的检验效能。新设计也足够灵活,能够轻易地允许因某些原因(如研究入组意外缓慢)增加最大分析次数,不过不是因为考虑中期分析时观察到的结果而增加分析次数。