Handelman S L, Iranpour B, Brunette P M, Solomon E
J Dent Educ. 1983 Mar;47(3):155-9.
Certain predictors are traditionally presumed to be reliable measures for selection of candidates for general dentistry training programs. The purpose of this study was to assess the relative value of academic standing, letters of recommendation, and personal interview impressions by comparing them with performance during training. Predictor data were collected from the application files of all postdoctoral trainees in the advanced general dentistry training program at the Eastern Dental Center of the past ten years (N = 154). However, only 102 postdoctoral students had information available for all three predictor criteria. Performance was rated subjectively on completion of training by two faculty members on a six-point rating scale. The highest correlations between predictors and performance were to academic achievement (r = 0.347). Weaker, though statistically significant, correlations were found for the personal interview (r = 0.206) and letters of recommendation (r = 0.192). Although these predictor criteria will continue to be used in the selection of candidates, administrators and selection committees must be aware of the limitations of such criteria in predicting performance.
传统上，某些预测指标被认为是选拔普通牙科培训项目候选人的可靠衡量标准。本研究的目的是通过将学术成绩、推荐信和个人面试印象与培训期间的表现进行比较，来评估它们的相对价值。预测指标数据是从东部牙科中心过去十年高级普通牙科培训项目中所有博士后学员的申请文件中收集的（N = 154）。然而，只有102名博士后学生具备所有三项预测指标标准的可用信息。培训结束时，由两名教员根据六点评分量表对表现进行主观评分。预测指标与表现之间的最高相关性是学术成就（r = 0.347）。个人面试（r = 0.206）和推荐信（r = 0.192）的相关性较弱，尽管具有统计学意义。尽管这些预测指标标准将继续用于候选人的选拔，但管理人员和选拔委员会必须意识到这些标准在预测表现方面的局限性。
