Fischer A B, Graem N, Jensen O M
Br J Surg. 1983 Sep;70(9):552-4. doi: 10.1002/bjs.1800700915.
In a follow-up study of 1000 patients, who were subjected to Billroth II resection for duodenal ulcer, the incidence and mortality of gastric carcinoma in a 22-30 year follow-up period were determined. Among the 423 survivors traced, 196 underwent gastroscopy and biopsy but carcinomas of the gastric remnant were not seen. Thus the prevalence was 0, not significantly different from the expected prevalence of 0.3. From all 1000 patients only 13 cases of gastric carcinoma were identified. This is not significantly different from the expected number of 10.6 calculated by the life table method and indirectly standardized for age, sex, place of residence and time. Even more than 15 years after operation the gastric cancer risk was only slightly increased (observed/expected = 7/4.8 +/- 1.48), but this was not significant statistically. Of 522 deaths 13 were due to gastric carcinoma, which was not significantly different from the expected number of 10.2. These epidemiological data show that individuals subjected to Billroth II resection for duodenal ulcer hardly have a higher risk of gastric carcinoma than the general population within the first decades after operation. Thus proplylactic endoscopical monitoring will be unrewarding.
在一项对1000例因十二指肠溃疡接受毕罗Ⅱ式切除术患者的随访研究中,确定了22至30年随访期内胃癌的发病率和死亡率。在追踪到的423名幸存者中,196人接受了胃镜检查和活检,但未发现残胃癌。因此,患病率为0,与预期的0.3患病率无显著差异。在全部1000例患者中仅发现13例胃癌。这与通过生命表法计算并按年龄、性别、居住地点和时间进行间接标准化后的预期数字10.6无显著差异。即使在手术后超过15年,患胃癌的风险也仅略有增加(观察值/预期值=7/4.8±1.48),但在统计学上并不显著。在522例死亡病例中,13例死于胃癌,这与预期数字10.2无显著差异。这些流行病学数据表明,因十二指肠溃疡接受毕罗Ⅱ式切除术的个体在术后头几十年患胃癌的风险几乎并不高于普通人群。因此,预防性内镜监测将毫无意义。