Ford W E, Schmittdiel C J, Reed J
Int J Addict. 1983 Dec;18(8):1049-62. doi: 10.3109/10826088309027369.
In response to the needs both to develop new, nonduplicative alcoholism services and to contain cost, and in order to plan for the labor-intensive alcoholism treatment system, planning techniques are needed to assist in the rational planning for and allocation of manpower. Using data from the 1980 National Drug and Alcoholism Treatment Utilization Survey, it is possible to analyze the staffing patterns of various modalities of alcoholism treatment. Two regression equations were developed to identify key variables for predicting manpower needs in various facilities. Budget, service type, and treatment capacity were statistically significant predictions of direct-care FTE staff in inpatient/residential units. The best predictive ability for direct-care FTE staff in detoxification and longer-term residential facilities was obtained with a general regression model which was based on all types of services (e.g., detoxification, longer-term residential, and outpatient). For outpatient settings, however, direct-care FTE staff was best predicted by considering budgets and treatment capacities within outpatient settings only. Based on this study, a planner can predict, with reasonable confidence, FTE direct-care staff by varying the values of the independent variables in the regression equation to reflect the various characteristics of the services being planned.
为了满足开发新的、非重复性酒精中毒服务以及控制成本的需求，并为劳动密集型酒精中毒治疗系统制定规划，需要规划技术来协助对人力进行合理规划和分配。利用1980年全国药物和酒精中毒治疗利用调查的数据，有可能分析酒精中毒治疗各种方式的人员配备模式。开发了两个回归方程，以确定预测各类机构人力需求的关键变量。预算、服务类型和治疗能力是住院/寄宿单位直接护理全时等效工作人员的统计学显著预测因素。对于戒毒和长期寄宿设施的直接护理全时等效工作人员，基于所有类型服务（如戒毒、长期寄宿和门诊）的一般回归模型具有最佳预测能力。然而，对于门诊机构，仅考虑门诊机构内的预算和治疗能力，能最好地预测直接护理全时等效工作人员。基于这项研究，规划人员可以通过改变回归方程中自变量的值以反映所规划服务的各种特征，从而有合理的把握预测全时等效直接护理工作人员数量。
