Louis T A, Lavori P W, Bailar J C, Polansky M
N Engl J Med. 1984 Jan 5;310(1):24-31. doi: 10.1056/NEJM198401053100106.
Crossover studies (clinical trials in which each patient receives two or more treatments in sequence) and self-controlled studies (in which each patient serves as his or her own control) can produce results that are statistically and clinically valid with far fewer patients than would otherwise be required. We investigated the use of the crossover design in the 13 crossover studies that appeared in the Journal during 1978 and 1979. We considered the following important features of design and analysis as they applied to these studies: the method by which patients were assigned to initial treatment (only 7 of 13 studies used random assignment); the determination of when to switch treatments (10 of the 13 used a time-dependent rule, and 3 a less appropriate disease-state-dependent rule); blinding of the crossover point (in only 3 of the 13 studies was the crossover point concealed, but in 4 of the remaining 10 concealment was impossible); assessment of the effects of the order of treatments (included in only 1 of the 13 studies); and the use of at least minimally acceptable statistical analysis (11 of the 13 studies had such an analysis). We also report briefly on 28 additional studies of a single treatment each, in which each patient served as his or her own control before or after treatment or both. The scientific issues were much the same as in crossover studies except that self-controlled comparisons of treatments tended to be less precisely designed and conducted and to focus on clinical problems and patient groups that are especially difficult to study.
交叉研究(即每位患者依次接受两种或更多种治疗的临床试验)和自身对照研究(即每位患者作为自身对照)所产生的结果,在统计学和临床上都是有效的,所需患者数量比其他方法要少得多。我们调查了1978年和1979年发表在该杂志上的13项交叉研究中交叉设计的使用情况。我们考虑了适用于这些研究的设计和分析的以下重要特征:患者被分配到初始治疗的方法(13项研究中只有7项使用随机分配);确定何时转换治疗(13项中有10项使用时间依赖性规则,3项使用不太合适的疾病状态依赖性规则);交叉点的盲法(13项研究中只有3项对交叉点进行了隐匿,但在其余10项中的4项无法进行隐匿);评估治疗顺序的影响(13项研究中只有1项进行了此项评估);以及至少使用可接受的统计分析(13项研究中有11项进行了此类分析)。我们还简要报告了另外28项每项仅涉及单一治疗的研究,在这些研究中,每位患者在治疗前或治疗后或两者都作为自身对照。科学问题与交叉研究大致相同,只是治疗的自身对照比较往往设计和实施得不够精确,且侧重于特别难以研究的临床问题和患者群体。