Ryder R W, Shelton J D, Guinan M E
Am J Epidemiol. 1980 Jul;112(1):113-23. doi: 10.1093/oxfordjournals.aje.a112960.
Several pre- and post-natal factors possibly important in determining which infants will develop necrotizing enterocolitis (NEC) and which of these infants will die with this disease were prospectively studied in 1976 in 11 infants with radiographic or pathologic evidence of the disease from 12 institutions in the United States and 111 weight-matched, institution-matched control infants. By multivariant discriminant analysis, the authors idenfitied 10 independent significant determinants of NEC and 10 determinants predictive of a fatal outcome among case infants. Determinants of NEC were: Apgar score deterioration; presence of a patent ductus arteriosus; maternal receipt of anesthesia during delivery; infant not treated with parenteral gentamicin before the onset of disease; infant receipt of 10% dextrose solution; treatment of mother with antibiotics during pregnancy; hyperalimentation or gavage feedings; premature rupture of membranes. Important morbid events among cases included red blood cell transfusions, gas in the portal system, premature rupture of membranes, abdominal distension, isolation of Klebsiella organisms from the blood, surgery, prolonged perinatal oxygen requirement, and lower Apgar 2 score. Attempts to modify preventable risk factors may decrease the incidence (2.4 cases per 1000 live births) and case fatality (41%) documented in this study.
1976年,对来自美国12家机构的11例有坏死性小肠结肠炎(NEC)影像学或病理学证据的婴儿以及111例体重匹配、机构匹配的对照婴儿进行了前瞻性研究,以探讨在确定哪些婴儿会患坏死性小肠结肠炎以及这些患病婴儿中哪些会死于该病方面可能重要的几个产前和产后因素。通过多变量判别分析,作者确定了坏死性小肠结肠炎的10个独立显著决定因素以及病例婴儿中预测致命结局的10个决定因素。坏死性小肠结肠炎的决定因素包括:阿氏评分恶化;动脉导管未闭;产妇分娩时接受麻醉;疾病发作前未接受肠外庆大霉素治疗的婴儿;婴儿接受10%葡萄糖溶液;孕期母亲接受抗生素治疗;胃肠外营养或管饲喂养;胎膜早破。病例中的重要病态事件包括红细胞输血、门静脉系统气体、胎膜早破、腹胀、血液中分离出克雷伯菌属、手术、围产期长期需氧以及较低的阿氏2评分。尝试改变可预防的危险因素可能会降低本研究中记录的发病率(每1000例活产中有2.4例)和病死率(41%)。