Sunderland R, Carpenter R G, Gardner A
Br Med J (Clin Res Ed). 1982 Feb 27;284(6316):624-6. doi: 10.1136/bmj.284.6316.624.
To test whether the seasons of birth had an effect on subsequent experience of illness, details were obtained of all Sheffield children born between 1973 and 1977 who were admitted to hospital before their second birthday with a first febrile convulsion. Analysis by date of birth in consecutive 28-day cohorts showed that the incidence of febrile convulsions ranged from 2.5 per thousand live births to 30.2 per thousand in different "month" cohorts. Statistically significant variations were noted in the incidence rates in relation to season and year of birth. The implication is that even large scale epidemiological studies which have been confined to children born in a particular week or month may not be representative of the whole child population.
为了测试出生季节是否会对随后的患病经历产生影响,研究人员获取了1973年至1977年在谢菲尔德出生、两岁前因首次热性惊厥入院的所有儿童的详细信息。按连续28天队列的出生日期进行分析表明,在不同的“月份”队列中,热性惊厥的发病率从每千例活产2.5例到30.2例不等。研究发现,发病率在出生季节和年份方面存在统计学上的显著差异。这意味着,即使是局限于特定一周或一个月内出生儿童的大规模流行病学研究,也可能无法代表整个儿童群体。