Rosen R
Am J Physiol. 1983 May;244(5):R591-9. doi: 10.1152/ajpregu.1983.244.5.R591.
This paper addresses the problem of extrapolating from data set gathered on a particular system to problems of more general physiological interest. It asks: what are the limits of the extrapolability of data? Under what circumstances can data derived from a particular system be transformed into data about another, different system? Such questions address the general problem of similarity analysis. A mathematical exploration of the meaning and usefulness of the concept of similarity is presented, and the necessity for a "prototype" is introduced. The discussion shows what we mean by the relationship between natural systems and the purest form of model of such systems, the mathematical model. The value and limitations of Dimensional Analysis are considered. It is concluded that the principle of dimensional homogeneity which underlies Dimensional Analysis is not strong enough to cope effectively with situations involving many phases, as arise in biological studies. Therefore, a more general approach is used. It is shown that the problems associated with data extrapolation are very deep and lead to some of the deepest issues in all of science. The extrapolation of data from animal models to human beings has been a general characteristic of pharmacologic research and, for that matter, biomedical investigations generally. Attention to limitations and dangers of such extrapolations seems overdue. With proper understanding of the essential nature of the extrapolatory action, and modeling relations, models can be validated.
本文探讨了从特定系统收集的数据外推到更具普遍生理意义问题的难题。它提出:数据的可外推性有哪些限制?在何种情况下,从特定系统得出的数据能够转化为关于另一个不同系统的数据?此类问题涉及相似性分析的普遍问题。本文对相似性概念的意义和用途进行了数学探究,并引入了“原型”的必要性。讨论展示了自然系统与此类系统最纯粹形式的模型——数学模型之间的关系。本文考虑了量纲分析的价值和局限性。得出的结论是,量纲分析所基于的量纲齐次性原理不足以有效应对生物学研究中出现的涉及多个阶段的情况。因此,采用了一种更通用的方法。结果表明,与数据外推相关的问题非常深刻,会引发所有科学领域中一些最深层次的问题。从动物模型到人类的数据外推一直是药理学研究的普遍特征,实际上也是生物医学研究的普遍特征。关注此类外推的局限性和风险似乎已为时过晚。通过正确理解外推作用的本质和建模关系,模型可以得到验证。