Walker A M, Loughlin J E, Friedlander E R, Rothman K J, Dreyer N A
J Occup Med. 1983 May;25(5):409-25.
Approximately 19,000 cases of mesothelioma and 55,000 cases of lung cancer will arise in U.S. men with histories of nontrivial occupational exposure to asbestos. There are approximately 65,000 U.S. men now alive with clinically diagnosable asbestosis. These estimates are based, in the case of the cancer, on estimates of the effective number of asbestos-exposed workers required to produce the current national incidence of mesothelioma. The asbestosis estimates are based on a number of rough measures relating the prevalence of asbestosis to the incidence of mesothelioma, the incidence of compensable asbestosis in other countries, the prevalence of and mortality from pneumoconioses generally, and the number of workers heavily exposed to asbestos.
在美国，有过大量职业性接触石棉经历的男性中，预计将出现约19000例间皮瘤病例和55000例肺癌病例。目前约有65000名美国男性患有临床可诊断的石棉肺。这些估计值中，癌症病例数是基于对产生当前全国间皮瘤发病率所需的石棉接触工人有效数量的估计。石棉肺病例数的估计则基于一些粗略的衡量标准，这些标准涉及石棉肺患病率与间皮瘤发病率的关系、其他国家可补偿石棉肺的发病率、尘肺病总体的患病率和死亡率，以及大量接触石棉的工人数量。
