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迈向生育力的一般理论:一种因果建模方法。

Toward a general theory of fertility: a causal modeling approach.

作者信息

Bagozzi R P, Van Loo M F

出版信息

Demography. 1978 Aug;15(3):301-20.

PMID:700226
Abstract

A general theory of fertility is derived hypothesizing that the demand for children is primarily an outcome of social psychological processes within the family, subject to certain socioeconomic constraints. Two broad social psychological processes are posited as determinants of fertility. The first suggests that the attitudes or tastes of family members influence the demand for children. The second maintains that the nature of the husband-wife interaction (in terms of power, conflict, decision making, and marital satisfaction) determines family size. Socioeconomic variables, in the form of the normative social structure and social stratification, and economic constraints, such as income and price, are hypothesized to influence fertility through their impact on social psychological processes within the family. The overall theory is tested on two independent samples--one in Ankara, Turkey, the second in Mexico City, Mexico--using a structural equation methodology.

摘要

本文推导了一个生育的一般理论,假设对孩子的需求主要是家庭内部社会心理过程的结果,并受到某些社会经济限制。文中提出了两个广泛的社会心理过程作为生育的决定因素。第一个因素表明家庭成员的态度或偏好会影响对孩子的需求。第二个因素认为夫妻互动的性质(在权力、冲突、决策和婚姻满意度方面)决定家庭规模。社会经济变量,以规范的社会结构和社会分层的形式存在,以及经济限制,如收入和价格,被假设通过对家庭内部社会心理过程的影响来影响生育。使用结构方程方法,在两个独立样本上对整体理论进行了检验——一个样本来自土耳其安卡拉,另一个来自墨西哥墨西哥城。

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Toward a general theory of fertility: a causal modeling approach.迈向生育力的一般理论:一种因果建模方法。
Demography. 1978 Aug;15(3):301-20.
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本文引用的文献

1
The integrative potential of a fertility model: An analytical test.生育模型的综合潜力:分析测试。
Popul Stud (Camb). 1972 Nov;26(3):465-85. doi: 10.1080/00324728.1972.10405915.
2
Are babies consumer durables? A Critique of the Economic Theory of Reproductive Motivation * The research discussed is supported by a grant from The Equitable Life Assurance Society to International Population and Urban Research, Institute of International Studies, University of California, Berkeley. The author wishes to thank Kingsley Davis for his advice and criticism, and Valerie Caires, Katherine Carter and Barbara Heyns for their assistance in processing the studies involved in this analysis. The report is also indebted to General Research Support Grant of the National Institutes of Health (1501-TR-544104) for assistance to Statistical Services, School of Public Health.婴儿是耐用消费品吗?对生殖动机的经济理论的批判* 本研究得到公平人寿保险公司的资助,由加利福尼亚大学伯克利分校国际人口与城市研究学会国际研究学院执行。作者感谢金斯利·戴维斯的建议和批评,以及瓦莱丽·凯尔斯、凯瑟琳·卡特和芭芭拉·海因斯在处理本分析所涉及的研究方面提供的帮助。该报告还感谢国家卫生研究院一般研究支持赠款(1501-TR-544104)为统计服务处提供的援助,该赠款来自公共卫生学院。
Popul Stud (Camb). 1968 Mar;22(1):5-25. doi: 10.1080/00324728.1968.10405523.
3
Some observations on the economic framework for fertility analysis.关于生育分析的经济框架的一些观察。
Popul Stud (Camb). 1972 Jul;26(2):185-206. doi: 10.1080/00324728.1972.10405545.
4
Theoretical and methodological considerations in the prediction of family planning intentions and behavior.计划生育意愿和行为预测中的理论与方法学考量
Represent Res Soc Psychol. 1973 Jan;4(1):37-51.
5
Economic determinants of fertility: results from cross-sectional aggregate data.生育的经济决定因素:来自横截面汇总数据的结果
Demography. 1973 May;10(2):205-23.