Popul Stud (Camb). 1972 Jul;26(2):185-206. doi: 10.1080/00324728.1972.10405545.
Abstract The economic framework for fertility analysis, first expounded in detail by Gary S. Becker(1), has attracted considerable attention among demographers. While some writers have enthusiastically endorsed the model, others have rejected it outright(3). A few attempts have also recently been made by some writers to modify or refine some of the concepts employed, and/or to change the modes of treatment of some of the factors in the original model. Unfortunately, several major objections levelled against the model still remain. It also remains to be examined whether the criticisms can be met without violating the principles and strategies espoused by economists. I believe (1) that most of the objections advanced against the model can be met by suitably modifying it, and (2) that the required modifications can be effected by employing strategies and conceptual schemes similar to those used in the demand analysis of consumer behaviour. The objective of this paper is to expound this belief. There is a strong possibility that after modification a healthy new theory will emerge which may prove useful in guiding research, as well as help to bring together different empirical findings in the literature, or to serve as a 'binder' for the theoretical speculations advanced by many research workers.
摘要：生育分析的经济框架，最初由加里·S·贝克尔（Gary S. Becker）详细阐述，已引起了人口统计学家的极大关注。尽管一些作者热情地支持该模型，但也有其他作者断然拒绝（3）。最近，一些作者也尝试对其中一些概念进行修改或改进，并/或改变原始模型中某些因素的处理方式。不幸的是，该模型仍然存在几个主要的反对意见。该模型是否可以在不违反经济学家所拥护的原则和策略的情况下应对这些批评，也有待检验。我相信（1）可以通过适当修改该模型来解决大多数针对该模型的反对意见，并且（2）可以通过采用类似于消费者行为需求分析中使用的策略和概念方案来实现所需的修改。本文的目的是阐述这一信念。经过修改后，一种新的健康理论很有可能会出现，这可能有助于指导研究，以及帮助将文献中的不同实证发现结合起来，或者作为许多研究人员提出的理论推测的“粘合剂”。
