Poos L R
Yale J Biol Med. 1981 May-Jun;54(3):227-34.
Both direct and indirect evidence implies that England experienced a lengthy period of stagnant or declining population during the later fourteenth and fifteenth centuries. The Black Death of 1348-1349 had brought about profound changes in England's agrarian economy, and this subsequent demographic depression is most commonly interpreted by historians as the result of plague mortality, recurring in severe outbreaks after the disease's introduction into the country. This paper reviews the evidence and assumptions behind this interpretation, in light of recent research by historical demographers and epidemiologists into bubonic plague epidemics and general mortality crises during the post-medieval period.
直接和间接证据均表明，在14世纪后期和15世纪，英格兰经历了一段人口停滞或下降的漫长时期。1348年至1349年的黑死病给英格兰的农业经济带来了深刻变化，历史学家普遍将随后的人口萧条解释为鼠疫致死的结果，自该病传入该国后，严重疫情反复爆发。鉴于历史人口统计学家和流行病学家最近对中世纪后期腺鼠疫疫情和总体死亡危机的研究，本文回顾了这一解释背后的证据和假设。
