Jaffey M
Med Hypotheses. 1982 Jan;8(1):49-84. doi: 10.1016/0306-9877(82)90089-5.
Cameron and Pauling have reported large survival increases in terminal cancer patients treated with Vitamin C. Their trials, which have been criticised because not based on random, double-blind principles, are reviewed here using a broad inductive method that relies on diverse data of varying quality. Conclusions are offered both on the value of Vitamin C and on this broad method, as follows: There is a strong possibility that Vitamin C very approximately doubled survival time as measured from the start of Vitamin C treatment, regardless of whether this was after termination of conventional treatment or much earlier. A recent Mayo Clinic trial which concluded that Vitamin C is valueless in the terminal stage may be given an alternative interpretation which supports this view. Despite a speculative element because based only on the condensed, published data, these conclusions have sufficient possibility of validity as to call for full further investigation. The conclusions on method are that the broad, inductive approach may have potential value when the randomized method cannot be used; that it also may facilitate, to the public's benefit, the release of probably valuable, inexpensive, non-toxic treatments pending decisive proof; and a greater return on the research dollar might result from a formal acceptance of the probabilistic element in scientific proof.
卡梅隆和鲍林报告称,接受维生素C治疗的晚期癌症患者生存率大幅提高。他们的试验受到了批评,因为其并非基于随机、双盲原则,本文采用一种广泛的归纳方法对这些试验进行了审视,该方法依赖于不同质量的多样数据。以下是关于维生素C的价值以及这种广泛方法得出的结论:很有可能维生素C使从开始使用维生素C治疗起计算的生存时间大致翻倍,无论这是在常规治疗结束后还是更早的时候。最近梅奥诊所的一项试验得出结论称维生素C在晚期毫无价值,但对此可能有另一种支持上述观点的解释。尽管由于仅基于精简的已发表数据存在推测性因素,但这些结论有足够的有效性可能性,因而需要进行全面的进一步研究。关于方法的结论是,当无法使用随机方法时,广泛的归纳方法可能具有潜在价值;它还可能有利于公众,促使在有决定性证据之前就推出可能有价值、廉价且无毒的治疗方法;正式接受科学证据中的概率因素可能会使研究资金获得更大回报。