Berezhnoĭ V F, Gribov A F, Urubkov A R, Cherniatina L F
Zh Mikrobiol Epidemiol Immunobiol. 1982 Mar(3):110-3.
The method for the determination of the coefficients of the dynamic model of the epidemic process in the focus of meningococcal infection is discussed. The method is based on the statistical evaluation of the coefficients of the system of common differential equations, the confidence interval for these coefficients and for dynamic characteristics. The minimization of the root-mean-square value of the output characteristics of the model serves as the criterion for the determination of the coefficients.
讨论了在脑膜炎球菌感染疫源地中确定流行过程动力学模型系数的方法。该方法基于对常微分方程组系数、这些系数以及动态特征的置信区间进行统计评估。模型输出特征均方根值的最小化用作确定系数的标准。
