Duvenhage H, Sinclair G S, Küstner H G
S Afr Med J. 1982 Aug 14;62(8):231-4.
The mortality rates for ischaemic heart disease (IHD) in White South Africans are presented for the years 1963-1977. There has been no increase in mortality from IHD over this period. The mean values of the age- and sex-specific mortality rates follow exponential functions in groups over the age of 10 years. The observed values fit the mathematical functions with coefficients of determination greater than 0,998. Some implications of this finding are briefly discussed.
文中呈现了1963年至1977年期间南非白人缺血性心脏病(IHD)的死亡率。在此期间,IHD的死亡率没有上升。10岁以上人群中,特定年龄和性别的死亡率均值呈指数函数。观测值与数学函数拟合,决定系数大于0.998。本文简要讨论了这一发现的一些影响。