Hilgard E R
Arch Gen Psychiatry. 1982 Aug;39(8):963-6. doi: 10.1001/archpsyc.1982.04290080069010.
In Spiegel's Hypnotic Induction Profile (HIP), a scale for measuring hypnotic responsiveness, the claim has been made that the eye-role sign (ER) can predict hypnotizability usable in clinical practice with a success rate of 75%. Using data from thousands of clinical cases, the ER correlated .22 with other items within the HIP--not high enough for predictive purposes. The present analysis shows how clinical observations uncorrected by statistical analysis can lead to illusory interpretations.
在施皮格尔的催眠诱导剖面图（HIP）中，这是一种用于测量催眠反应性的量表，有人声称眼动迹象（ER）能够预测临床实践中可用的催眠能力，成功率为75%。利用数千个临床病例的数据，ER与HIP中的其他项目的相关性为0.22——对于预测目的来说不够高。目前的分析表明，未经统计分析校正的临床观察如何会导致虚幻的解释。
