Davies R B, Crouchley R, Pickles A R
Demography. 1982 Aug;19(3):291-9.
Migration probabilities are known to vary over the population (heterogeneity) and over time (nonstationarity). It is shown that if the heterogeneity is represented by an SB mixing distribution and the nonstationarity by a set of arbitrary logistic scaling functions, then not only may all sources of heterogeneity, including tastes, be modelled, but heterogeneity at different points in time may be readily compared. The model is calibrated using data previously published by Clark et al. (1977, 1979) for a sample of 1,176 older renters and is found to fit well. The changing heterogeneity over the ten-year period of observation is represented graphically.
迁移概率在人群中(异质性)以及随时间(非平稳性)变化是已知的。研究表明,如果异质性由一个SB混合分布表示,非平稳性由一组任意的逻辑缩放函数表示,那么不仅可以对包括偏好在内的所有异质性来源进行建模,而且不同时间点的异质性也可以很容易地进行比较。该模型使用克拉克等人(1977年、1979年)先前公布的1176名老年租房者样本数据进行校准,结果发现拟合良好。通过图形展示了观察期十年间不断变化的异质性。