Griffiths D A, Sandland R L
Growth. 1982 Spring;46(1):1-11.
Turner (1978) introduced a class of deterministic models to describe multivariate growth processes along with a least squares fitting procedure. Turner's fitting procedure is shown to be ill founded and the methods of inference associated with it dangerously misleading. An alternative class of stochastic models is introduced; this is largely based on Turner's generalization of allometry and the Lotka-Volterra equations. The associated fitting procedure is the method of maximum likelihood which allows valid inferences to be made. As an example of the superiority of this new class of models in describing multivariate growth processes one of the data sets analysed by Turner is reconsidered here. Some general comments are made on Turner's analysis of the famous lynx and hare data.
特纳(1978年)引入了一类确定性模型来描述多元生长过程,并附带了一种最小二乘法拟合程序。结果表明,特纳的拟合程序缺乏依据,与之相关的推理方法具有极大的误导性。本文引入了另一类随机模型;这类模型主要基于特纳对异速生长和洛特卡 - 沃尔泰拉方程的推广。相关的拟合程序是极大似然法,它能进行有效的推理。作为这类新模型在描述多元生长过程方面优越性的一个例子,这里重新审视了特纳分析过的一个数据集。文中对特纳对著名的猞猁和野兔数据的分析给出了一些一般性评论。