Kriebel D
Int Arch Occup Environ Health. 1982;50(3):209-18. doi: 10.1007/BF00378083.
In recent years, energy exchange has come to be accepted as the causative agent in accidental injuries. This paper focuses on two fundamental characteristics of accidental workplace injuries, their frequency, and their severity. I propose that the frequency of injuries is determined largely by the nature of the interactions between workers and production processes, while the severity of the occurring injuries will be more strongly affected by the maximum possible harm the production process can cause. Other aspects of the design of the production process may also affect the severity of injuries. Using aggregate national data for manufacturing industries in the US for 1972, the rate of injuries per 100 employees per year and the average number of lost work days per injury (a common measure of severity) were regressed against a number of econometric variables. Eighty percent of the variation in injury frequency rates among 61 industries was explained by seven variables. Among them were the rate of new hires, the productivity of energy and of labor, the average hourly wage, and the percentage of the workforce that was unionized. Four variables explained 69% of the variation in the severity of injuries among industries. Nearly half of this effect was caused by just one variable, the amount of energy consumed per worker. These results provide tentative confirmation for the models of injury frequency and severity that were proposed, and suggest the need for another study using less aggregated data.
近年来,能量交换已被公认为意外伤害的致病因素。本文关注工作场所意外伤害的两个基本特征,即其发生频率和严重程度。我认为,伤害的频率在很大程度上取决于工人与生产过程之间相互作用的性质,而所发生伤害的严重程度将更强烈地受到生产过程可能造成的最大伤害的影响。生产过程设计的其他方面也可能影响伤害的严重程度。利用1972年美国制造业的全国汇总数据,将每年每100名员工的受伤率和每次受伤的平均误工天数(严重程度的常用衡量指标)与一些计量经济学变量进行回归分析。61个行业中伤害频率率变化的80% 可由七个变量解释。其中包括新员工入职率、能源和劳动力生产率、平均小时工资以及工会会员在劳动力中所占的百分比。四个变量解释了各行业伤害严重程度变化的69%。近一半的影响仅由一个变量造成,即每名工人的能源消耗量。这些结果为所提出的伤害频率和严重程度模型提供了初步证实,并表明需要使用聚合程度较低的数据进行另一项研究。