Palmore E B, George L K, Fillenbaum G G
J Gerontol. 1982 Nov;37(6):733-42. doi: 10.1093/geronj/37.6.733.
Predictors of retirement among men were analyzed using data from seven longitudinal studies, multiple definitions of retirement, multivariate analyses, and unbiased statistical techniques. Results show that the predictors of retirement vary depending on how retirement is defined. The strongest predictors of objective retirement among men over age 65 (i.e., employed less than full-time and receiving a pension) are structural factors such as socioeconomic status and job characteristics. The strongest predictors of early retirement (i.e., retiring before age 65) and of age at retirement include both structural factors and subjective factors, characteristics are more important predictors than all the others combined.
利用来自七项纵向研究的数据、退休的多种定义、多变量分析和无偏统计技术，对男性退休的预测因素进行了分析。结果表明，退休的预测因素因退休的定义方式而异。65岁以上男性客观退休（即非全职工作并领取养老金）的最强预测因素是社会经济地位和工作特征等结构因素。提前退休（即65岁之前退休）和退休年龄的最强预测因素包括结构因素和主观因素，性格特征比其他所有因素加起来更重要。
