Corwin L E, Wolf P A, Kannel W B, McNamara P M
Stroke. 1982 Nov-Dec;13(6):818-21. doi: 10.1161/01.str.13.6.818.
The validity of death certification of stroke was studied in the general population cohort at Framingham, MA. During the last 30 years, 5106 people aged 30 to 62 and free of CHD and stroke at entry have been followed for the development of cardiovascular disease including stroke. Of the 280 decedents with certified stroke 113 (40% false negative rate) had no mention of stroke on the death certificate. THe false negative rate increased significantly with increasing age at death and increasing interval from last stroke to death. Among the 216 certificates listing stroke there were 46 false positives (21%). Analysis by type of stroke disclosed marked over-reporting of cerebral hemorrhage and under-reporting of cerebral embolus. This comparison of prospectively collected data to death certificates should raise questions about the accuracy of studies dependent on ths source of information.
在马萨诸塞州弗雷明汉的普通人群队列中,对中风死亡证明的有效性进行了研究。在过去30年里,对5106名年龄在30至62岁之间、入组时无冠心病和中风的人群进行了随访,观察包括中风在内的心血管疾病的发生情况。在280例经证明的中风死亡者中,有113例(假阴性率为40%)在死亡证明上未提及中风。假阴性率随着死亡年龄的增加以及最后一次中风到死亡的时间间隔的增加而显著上升。在列出中风的216份证明中,有46例假阳性(21%)。按中风类型分析发现,脑出血报告明显过多,脑栓塞报告不足。将前瞻性收集的数据与死亡证明进行的这种比较,应该会引发人们对依赖这一信息来源的研究准确性的质疑。