Windham G C, Sever L E
Am J Hum Genet. 1982 Nov;34(6):988-98.
To obtain accurate, unbiased rates of neural tube defects (NTDs) in twins, we conducted a population-based study that included live births and fetal deaths in Los Angeles County, California, ascertaining cases by multiple methods. Twenty-eight twin cases yielded a prevalence-at-birth of 1.6/1,000 twin births, which is significantly higher than the singleton prevalence of 1.1/1,000 births. In twins compared with singletons, the prevalences of both encephalocele and anencephaly are increased, whereas spina bifida is decreased. The twin case male/female sex ratio (.55) is lower than the singleton case sex ratio (.77). Concordance is relatively low at 3.7%, but appears to be higher than recently reported recurrence risks in other low prevalence areas. Stillbirths were most common among female cases and like-sex twins. Our study tends to support proposed etiologic theories associating NTDs with females or monozygotic twins, or both. There is increasing evidence that the etiology of NTDs may differ in high and low prevalence areas. We suggest also that twins and singletons may differ in their response to etiologic factors. The variations among anencephaly, spina bifida, and encephalocele in their association with twinning suggest that there may be different factors that influence the development of each specific NTD. The noted differences among the malformations also indicate that some of the variation among results of other studies of NTDs and twinning may be due to case ascertainment. Including spina bifida cases would decrease the proportion of twins in a study population, while including anencephalics would increase the proportion. Importantly, ascertaining fetal deaths would increase the proportion of anencephalics and case females, so studies of NTDs that do not include fetal deaths will show fewer twins than expected. On the basis of our findings and those of Layde et al., excluding encephaloceles will also decrease the number of twins among NTD cases. When investigating etiologic hypotheses for NTDs, these potential biases must be recognized.
为了获得准确、无偏倚的双胞胎神经管缺陷(NTDs)发生率,我们开展了一项基于人群的研究,纳入了加利福尼亚州洛杉矶县的活产和死胎,通过多种方法确定病例。28例双胞胎病例的出生患病率为1.6/1000例双胞胎出生,显著高于单胎出生患病率1.1/1000例出生。与单胎相比,双胞胎中脑膨出和无脑儿的患病率均升高,而脊柱裂的患病率降低。双胞胎病例的男/女性别比(0.55)低于单胎病例的性别比(0.77)。一致性相对较低,为3.7%,但似乎高于其他低患病率地区最近报道的复发风险。死胎在女性病例和同性双胞胎中最为常见。我们的研究倾向于支持将NTDs与女性或同卵双胞胎或两者相关联的病因学理论。越来越多的证据表明,NTDs的病因在高患病率和低患病率地区可能有所不同。我们还认为,双胞胎和单胎对病因因素的反应可能不同。无脑儿、脊柱裂和脑膨出与双胎妊娠的关联存在差异,这表明可能有不同的因素影响每种特定NTD的发生。畸形之间的显著差异也表明,其他NTDs与双胎妊娠研究结果的一些差异可能是由于病例确诊所致。纳入脊柱裂病例会降低研究人群中双胞胎的比例,而纳入无脑儿病例会增加这一比例。重要的是,确定死胎会增加无脑儿和女性病例的比例,因此不包括死胎的NTDs研究显示的双胞胎数量将少于预期。根据我们的研究结果以及莱德等人的研究结果,排除脑膨出病例也会减少NTD病例中的双胞胎数量。在研究NTDs的病因假设时,必须认识到这些潜在的偏差。