Schroeder S A, Showstack J A, Schwartz J
JAMA. 1981 Apr 10;245(14):1446-9.
To assess the degree to which high-cost illness is terminal illness, survival data were obtained on a random sample of 776 adult high-cost patients from nine acute-care hospitals in the San Francisco Bay area. Two years after discharge, at least 34% of high-cost patients had died. These patients accounted for 39% of the hospital charges incurred by the total group of patients studied. Among the factors significantly associated with death were a diagnosis of cancer (62% death), age older than 64 years (44% death), discharge from a medical (as opposed to surgical) service (42% death), and hospital bill of $10,000 and more (48% death). In-hospital and posthospital death rates varied greatly among the nine hospitals. The data suggest that large amounts of medical care are consumed by patients with unfavorable prognoses.
为了评估高费用疾病在多大程度上等同于晚期疾病,我们从旧金山湾区9家急症医院的776名成年高费用患者的随机样本中获取了生存数据。出院两年后,至少34%的高费用患者已经死亡。这些患者占所研究的全部患者产生的医院费用的39%。与死亡显著相关的因素包括癌症诊断(62%的死亡率)、64岁以上的年龄(44%的死亡率)、从内科(而非外科)科室出院(42%的死亡率)以及医院账单达到10000美元及以上(48%的死亡率)。9家医院的院内死亡率和院后死亡率差异很大。数据表明,预后不佳的患者消耗了大量的医疗护理资源。