Bridges B, Packard M D
Soc Secur Bull. 1981 Jan;44(1):3-15.
It is widely believed that inflation is harmful to the elderly. Two frequent arguments in support of this belief are that some important income sources for the elderly are less than fully indexed to inflation and that the elderly spend heavily on goods and services whose prices rise faster than the average inflation rate. This article focuses on both the income issue and the expenditure issue. The first part of the article evaluates the question of whether an economy-wide consumer price index is an adequate measure of the cost of living for the elderly population. The evaluation is made by constructing a consumer price index using expenditure weights that are more appropriate for the elderly population. It is found that over the 1967-79 period the movement of this constructed index was very similar to that of the economy-wide index. The constructed index did grow slightly faster than the economy-wide index, however. The second part of the article focuses on changes in average real incomes of the elderly over the 1970-77 period. Two dimensions of income changes are examined. First, the incomes of families headed by persons aged 65 or over are compared at different points in time. It is found that average real income of this age class was 10 percent higher in 1977 than in 1970. Second, the 1970 and 1977 incomes of the cohort of families headed by persons aged 65 or over in 1970 are compared. It is found that average real income of this cohort fell by 4 percent between 1970 and 1977.
人们普遍认为通货膨胀对老年人有害。支持这一观点的两个常见论点是,老年人的一些重要收入来源与通货膨胀的挂钩并不完全,而且老年人在价格上涨速度高于平均通货膨胀率的商品和服务上支出较多。本文关注的是收入问题和支出问题。文章的第一部分评估了一个全经济范围的消费者价格指数是否足以衡量老年人口的生活成本这一问题。评估是通过使用更适合老年人口的支出权重构建一个消费者价格指数来进行的。研究发现,在1967 - 1979年期间,这个构建指数的走势与全经济范围的指数非常相似。然而,构建指数的增长确实比全经济范围的指数略快。文章的第二部分关注1970 - 1977年期间老年人平均实际收入的变化。研究了收入变化的两个方面。首先,比较了在不同时间点由65岁及以上的人当家的家庭的收入。研究发现,这个年龄段的平均实际收入在1977年比1970年高10%。其次,比较了1970年由65岁及以上的人当家的家庭群体在1970年和1977年的收入。研究发现,这个群体的平均实际收入在1970年至1977年期间下降了4%。