Fuchs V R
J Hum Resour. 1978;13 Suppl:35-56.
This paper presents a multiequation, multivariate analysis of differences in the supply of surgeons and the demand for operations across geographical areas of the United States in 1963 and 1970. The results provide considerable support for the hypothesis that surgeons shift the demand for operations. Other things equal, a 10 percent increase in the surgeon/population ratio results in about a 3 percent increase in per capita utilization. Moreover, differences in supply seem to have a perverse effect on fees, raising them when the surgeon/population ratio increases. Surgeon supply is in part determined by factors unrelated to demand, especially by the attractiveness of the area as a place to live.
本文呈现了对1963年和1970年美国不同地理区域外科医生供给与手术需求差异的多方程、多变量分析。研究结果为外科医生会改变手术需求这一假说提供了有力支持。在其他条件相同的情况下,外科医生与人口比例每增加10%,人均手术利用率约提高3%。此外,供给差异似乎对费用产生了反常影响,即外科医生与人口比例增加时费用反而上升。外科医生的供给部分由与需求无关的因素决定,特别是该地区作为居住地的吸引力。