Alderson M R, Rattan N S, Bidstrup L
Br J Ind Med. 1981 May;38(2):117-24. doi: 10.1136/oem.38.2.117.
In a follow-up study of 2715 men who had worked for at least one year at the three chromate-producing factories in Britain between 1948 and 1977 only 298 were lost to follow-up, and the average number of person-years in the study was 16.3. One hundred and sixteen deaths from lung cancer occurred in these men, with only 48.0 expected (O/E = 2.4; p less than 0.001). For men employed at the factory, which is still in operation, the relative risk of lung cancer has decreased from over 3.0 before plant modification to about 1.8 in those who have worked only since plant modification. A multivariate analysis was used in an attempt to unravel the overlapping influence of duration of employment, length of follow-up, plant modification, factory, age at entry to work, and estimated degree of chromate exposure. The major dependent factor appeared to be duration of employment; in addition the analysis suggested that modifications in the plant and work environment had been associated with an appreciable reduction of the excess risk from lung cancer.
在一项针对2715名男性的随访研究中,这些男性于1948年至1977年间在英国的三家铬酸盐生产工厂工作了至少一年,仅有298人失访,该研究中的人均人年数为16.3。这些男性中有116人死于肺癌,而预期死亡人数仅为48.0(观察值/期望值 = 2.4;p < 0.001)。对于仍在运营的工厂的在职男性,肺癌的相对风险已从工厂改造前的超过3.0降至仅在工厂改造后工作的男性中的约1.8。采用多变量分析试图理清就业时长、随访时间、工厂改造、工厂、入职年龄以及估计的铬酸盐暴露程度的重叠影响。主要的相关因素似乎是就业时长;此外,分析表明工厂和工作环境的改造与肺癌额外风险的显著降低有关。