Hatton F, Bouvier M H, Maujol L
Rev Epidemiol Sante Publique. 1981;29(3):341-53.
Corresponding to a non-experimental approach and based upon the study of indices obtained from permanent statistics, this assessment presents methodological difficulties linked both: to the choice of permanant indicators and to the interpretation of their variations in a situation of observation. The results permit us to appraise the consequences of the global policy of prevention in the field of road traffic accidents in France during many consecutive years: - the decrease of mortality and morbidity demographic indices; - the strengthening of the regressive tendency of the risk indices linked to road traffic (number of dead and wounded in relation to the "km" covered, to the consumption of motor-fuel...). The agreement of the evolutive tendencies of these indicators lets us think that the campaign against traffic accidents has had the desired effects even if they are still incomplete.
对应于一种非实验性方法，并基于对从永久性统计数据中获得的指标的研究，该评估存在方法上的困难，这些困难与以下两方面都有关联：永久性指标的选择以及在观察情况下对其变化的解释。这些结果使我们能够评估法国多年来道路交通事故领域全球预防政策的后果： - 死亡率和发病率人口统计指标的下降； - 与道路交通相关的风险指标（与行驶“公里数”、机动车燃料消耗等相关的伤亡人数）的回归趋势增强。这些指标演变趋势的一致性让我们认为，即使交通事故防治运动的效果仍不完整，但已产生了预期效果。
