Johnson T R, Compton A A, Kirkish L S, Bozynski M E, Barclay M L, McCann D S
Obstet Gynecol. 1980 May;55(5):621-4.
This study attempts to confirm previous reports of a clinically useful serum unconjugated estriol surge at 36 weeks' gestation. Although an apparently physiologic estriol surge occurred at 36 +/- 2.1 weeks in 25 of 32 patients, clinical reality makes weekly plasma sampling difficult. In individual cases, use of the "surge point" predicted gestational age within a 4-week range with only 66% accuracy, and potentially serious errors in dating occurred. Other biochemical (lecithin:sphingomyelin, phosphatidylglycerol) and sonographic methods are superior in resolving problems with dating gestational age in the third trimester.