Curreri P W, Luterman A, Braun D W, Shires G T
Ann Surg. 1980;192(4):472-8. doi: 10.1097/00000658-198010000-00006.
The charts of 937 patients have been reviewed for survival and length of stay. Probit analysis and binary logistic regression has been performed to develop probability of dying contours incorporating age and per cent burn. It appears that improvement in survival has occurred over the last 16 years. The length of hospital stay has also been evaluated. A significant decrease in hospitalization time has occurred in the past year with the advent of a selective wound excisional protocol, without adversely affecting survival. A burn bed requirement chart is presented which incorporates age, burn size, survival probability and predicted length of stay. The chart allows for estimation of burn bed needs for a known or predicted population of regional burn victims.
对937例患者的病历进行了生存情况和住院时间的回顾。进行了概率分析和二元逻辑回归,以绘制包含年龄和烧伤百分比的死亡概率曲线。在过去16年中,生存率似乎有所提高。还对住院时间进行了评估。随着选择性伤口切除方案的出现,过去一年住院时间显著缩短,且未对生存率产生不利影响。给出了一张烧伤床位需求图表,该图表纳入了年龄、烧伤面积、生存概率和预测住院时间。该图表可用于估计已知或预测的区域烧伤患者群体的烧伤床位需求。