Holmes D R, Elveback L R, Frye R L, Kottke B A, Ellefson R D
Circulation. 1981 Feb;63(2):293-9. doi: 10.1161/01.cir.63.2.293.
Stepwise linear discrimination was used to analyze risk factors in 431 consecutive patients who underwent coronary angiography to determine which variables were most closely associated with coronary artery disease. Twenty-one risk factors were considered: total plasma cholesterol and triglycerides; the cholesterol and triglyceride content of high-density lipoproteins (HDL), low-density lipoproteins (LDL) and very low density lipoproteins (VLDL); and the percentage of total cholesterol and triglycerides in each fraction. Age, smoking history, family history, hypertension, diabetes mellitus and relative weight were also considered. Coronary artery disease was assessed using three standard grading scores. There were significant differences in risk factors between males and females. In males, LDL cholesterol and age were selected by multivariate analysis. In females, the ratio of HDL cholesterol to total cholesterol, as well as relative weight, family history, age and smoking were selected. The discriminating value of HDL cholesterol as the percentage of total cholesterol was significantly greater than that of HDL cholesterol itself. Despite highly significant associations between risk factors and the presence of coronary artery disease, the discrimination did not provide sufficient separation of the groups to give results that are useful diagnostically in individual patients.
采用逐步线性判别分析法,对431例连续接受冠状动脉造影的患者的危险因素进行分析,以确定哪些变量与冠状动脉疾病关系最为密切。共考虑了21个危险因素:血浆总胆固醇和甘油三酯;高密度脂蛋白(HDL)、低密度脂蛋白(LDL)和极低密度脂蛋白(VLDL)中的胆固醇和甘油三酯含量;以及各组分中总胆固醇和甘油三酯的百分比。还考虑了年龄、吸烟史、家族史、高血压、糖尿病和相对体重。采用三种标准分级评分评估冠状动脉疾病。男性和女性的危险因素存在显著差异。在男性中,多变量分析选择了LDL胆固醇和年龄。在女性中,选择了HDL胆固醇与总胆固醇的比值,以及相对体重、家族史、年龄和吸烟情况。HDL胆固醇占总胆固醇的百分比的判别价值显著高于HDL胆固醇本身。尽管危险因素与冠状动脉疾病的存在之间存在高度显著的关联,但这种判别分析并未提供足够的组间区分度,无法得出对个体患者诊断有用的结果。