Courchamp F, Pontier D, Langlais M, Artois M
URA CNRS 2055, Université Lyon I, France.
J Theor Biol. 1995 Aug 21;175(4):553-60. doi: 10.1006/jtbi.1995.0163.
A deterministic model was constructed for studying the circulation of Feline Immunodeficiency Virus (FIV), a feline retrovirus homologous to Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV), within populations of domestic cats. The model has been tested with data generated by a long-term study of several natural cat populations. Simulations and a study of stability show that once introduced, the retrovirus is maintained within the population, with a stable equilibrium stage reached by both numbers of susceptible and infected individuals. An estimation of parameters indicates that the transmission rate is low and depends on the structure of the population. In addition, FIV has a low impact on the population in that the total number of cats at equilibrium when this virus is present is almost always equal to the habitat carrying capacity in the absence of the virus. Those results, in agreement with other observations, suggest that FIV originally arose in the distant past.
构建了一个确定性模型,用于研究猫免疫缺陷病毒(FIV,一种与人类免疫缺陷病毒(HIV)同源的猫逆转录病毒)在家猫群体中的传播情况。该模型已通过对几个自然猫群体的长期研究产生的数据进行了测试。模拟和稳定性研究表明,一旦引入,逆转录病毒会在群体中持续存在,易感个体和感染个体的数量都会达到稳定的平衡阶段。参数估计表明传播率较低,且取决于群体结构。此外,FIV对群体的影响较小,因为存在这种病毒时平衡状态下的猫总数几乎总是等于没有该病毒时栖息地的承载能力。这些结果与其他观察结果一致,表明FIV最初出现在遥远的过去。